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Calculating the day's games…
🇲🇽 Liga MX (Mexico)
No matches this day.
🇲🇽 Liga MX standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | América | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 10 | +11 | 20 |
| 2 | Toluca | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 15 | +10 | 20 |
| 3 | Chivas | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 10 | +7 | 18 |
| 4 | León | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 12 | +3 | 18 |
| 5 | Querétaro | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 8 | +5 | 17 |
| 6 | Atlas | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 17 |
| 7 | Cruz Azul | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 18 | +1 | 16 |
| 8 | Puebla | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 15 |
| 9 | Tijuana | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 13 | +1 | 14 |
| 10 | Monterrey | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 14 | +2 | 13 |
| 11 | Tigres | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 13 |
| 12 | Pachuca | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 11 | +4 | 12 |
| 13 | Pumas | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 12 |
| 14 | San Luis | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 12 |
| 15 | Atlante | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 11 |
| 16 | Santos | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 10 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 8 |
| 18 | Juárez | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 7 | 25 | -18 | 3 |
How are the predictions calculated?
Each upcoming match gets a Home / Draw / Away percentage from a statistical model, not a guess:
- Form — each team's attack and defense strength from goals scored/conceded this season, blended with expected goals (xG) to separate genuine chances created from lucky or unlucky finishing, weighted so recent matches count more than early ones.
- Head-to-head — this pair's past meetings nudge the prediction toward whoever's historically had the upper hand, capped so a small sample can't dominate.
- Squad & injuries — currently unavailable players discount a team's attack or defense, weighted by how many minutes they'd normally play.
- Home advantage — built into the league's own real home/away scoring split, not assumed.
Every number is then pulled back toward the league's own baseline odds, proportional to how extreme it is — a calibration step found necessary by backtesting the model against a full past season, which showed it was otherwise overconfident whenever it favored a clear winner.