Calculating the day's games…
Real Sociedad 8th
3-3
Oviedo
Scorer details pending
Betis 4th
1-1
Rayo 13th
Scorer details pending
Osasuna 15th
2-1
Real Madrid 3rd
Scorer details pending
Atlético 2nd
4-2
Espanyol 12th
Scorer details pending
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barça | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 7 | +27 | 24 |
| 2 | Atlético | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 8 | +10 | 19 |
| 3 | Real Madrid | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 8 | +11 | 18 |
| 4 | Betis | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 16 |
| 5 | Sevilla | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 13 |
| 6 | Alavés | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 8 | +4 | 11 |
| 7 | Depor | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 10 |
| 8 | Real Sociedad | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 10 |
| 9 | Celta | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 8 |
| 10 | Athletic | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 8 |
| 11 | Villarreal | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 | Espanyol | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 8 |
| 13 | Rayo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 8 |
| 14 | Getafe | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 8 |
| 15 | Osasuna | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 8 |
| 16 | Racing | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 7 |
| 17 | Elche | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 6 |
| 18 | Levante | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 5 |
| 19 | Valencia | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 4 |
| 20 | Málaga | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 4 |
Each upcoming match gets a Home / Draw / Away percentage from a statistical model, not a guess:
Every number is then pulled back toward the league's own baseline odds, proportional to how extreme it is — a calibration step found necessary by backtesting the model against a full past season, which showed it was otherwise overconfident whenever it favored a clear winner.