Getafe 14th
0-1
Valencia 19th
Goals
- José Gayà 84′
Scorer details pending
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Calculating the day's games…
🇪🇸 La Liga (Spain)
Getafe 14th
0-1
Valencia 19th
Atlético 2nd
1-0
Alavés 7th
Goals
- Alexander Sørloth 48′
Scorer details pending
Celta 9th
3-0
Rayo 13th
Goals
- Sergio Carreira 40′
- Bryan Zaragoza PEN 54′
- Javi Rueda 79′
Scorer details pending
Real Sociedad 6th
2-1
Barça 1st
Goals
- Mikel Oyarzabal 32′
- Gonçalo Guedes 71′
- Marcus Rashford 70′
Scorer details pending
🇪🇸 La Liga standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barça | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 7 | +27 | 24 |
| 2 | Atlético | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 8 | +10 | 19 |
| 3 | Betis | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 9 | +5 | 19 |
| 4 | Real Madrid | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 8 | +11 | 18 |
| 5 | Sevilla | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 13 |
| 6 | Real Sociedad | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 13 |
| 7 | Alavés | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 8 | +4 | 11 |
| 8 | Depor | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 11 | +1 | 10 |
| 9 | Celta | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 8 |
| 10 | Athletic | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 8 |
| 11 | Villarreal | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 | Espanyol | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 8 |
| 13 | Rayo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 8 |
| 14 | Getafe | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 8 |
| 15 | Racing | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 8 |
| 16 | Osasuna | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 | Elche | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 6 |
| 18 | Levante | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 5 |
| 19 | Valencia | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 5 |
| 20 | Málaga | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 4 |
How are the predictions calculated?
Each upcoming match gets a Home / Draw / Away percentage from a statistical model, not a guess:
- Form — each team's attack and defense strength from goals scored/conceded this season, blended with expected goals (xG) to separate genuine chances created from lucky or unlucky finishing, weighted so recent matches count more than early ones.
- Head-to-head — this pair's past meetings nudge the prediction toward whoever's historically had the upper hand, capped so a small sample can't dominate.
- Squad & injuries — currently unavailable players discount a team's attack or defense, weighted by how many minutes they'd normally play.
- Home advantage — built into the league's own real home/away scoring split, not assumed.
Every number is then pulled back toward the league's own baseline odds, proportional to how extreme it is — a calibration step found necessary by backtesting the model against a full past season, which showed it was otherwise overconfident whenever it favored a clear winner.