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Calculating the day's games…

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Premier League (England)

Bournemouth shieldBournemouth 17th 1-1 Sunderland shieldSunderland 16th
finished
Goals
  • Evanilson 63′
  • Eliezer Mayenda 18′
Burnley shieldBurnley 3-4 Brentford shieldBrentford 4th
finished
Goals
  • Michael Kayode OG 45+3′
  • Jaidon Anthony 47′
  • Zian Flemming 60′
  • Mikkel Damsgaard 9′
  • Igor Thiago 25′
  • Kevin Schade 34′
  • Mikkel Damsgaard 90+3′
Liverpool shieldLiverpool 9th 5-2 West Ham United shieldWest Ham United
finished
Goals
  • Hugo Ekitike 5′
  • Virgil van Dijk 24′
  • Alexis Mac Allister 43′
  • Cody Gakpo 70′
  • Axel Disasi OG 82′
  • Tomás Soucek 49′
  • Valentín Castellanos 75′
Newcastle shieldNewcastle 11th 2-3 Everton shieldEverton 5th
finished
Goals
  • Jacob Ramsey 32′
  • Jacob Murphy 82′
  • Jarrad Branthwaite 19′
  • Beto 34′
  • Thierno Barry 83′
Leeds shieldLeeds 7th 0-1 Man City shieldMan City 1st
finished
Goals
  • Antoine Semenyo 45+2′

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Premier League standings

# Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 6 6 0 0 16 5 +11 18
2 Arsenal 6 5 0 1 10 5 +5 15
3 Brighton 6 4 1 1 18 5 +13 13
4 Brentford 6 2 4 0 12 6 +6 10
5 Everton 6 2 4 0 8 5 +3 10
6 Chelsea 6 3 1 2 15 13 +2 10
7 Leeds 6 2 3 1 8 5 +3 9
8 Hull 6 2 3 1 8 6 +2 9
9 Liverpool 6 2 3 1 7 7 0 9
10 Ipswich 6 3 0 3 9 12 -3 9
11 Newcastle 5 2 2 1 9 9 0 8
12 Crystal Palace 6 2 1 3 9 12 -3 7
13 Man United 6 1 3 2 9 9 0 6
14 Nottm Forest 6 1 2 3 5 8 -3 5
15 Aston Villa 6 1 2 3 6 11 -5 5
16 Sunderland 6 1 1 4 6 12 -6 4
17 Bournemouth 6 0 3 3 7 13 -6 3
18 Tottenham 6 0 3 3 3 9 -6 3
19 Coventry 5 1 0 4 1 10 -9 3
20 Fulham 6 0 2 4 6 10 -4 2
How are the predictions calculated?

Each upcoming match gets a Home / Draw / Away percentage from a statistical model, not a guess:

Every number is then pulled back toward the league's own baseline odds, proportional to how extreme it is — a calibration step found necessary by backtesting the model against a full past season, which showed it was otherwise overconfident whenever it favored a clear winner.

Full step-by-step explanation →

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