Premier League · football-bot

Daily bets · higher return with lower risk

Calculating the day's games…

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Premier League (England)

West Ham United 3-1 Sunderland shield

Sunderland 16th

finished

Goals

Crysencio Summerville 14′
Jarrod Bowen PEN 28′
Mateus Fernandes 43′

Brian Brobbey 66′

Burnley 2-2 Tottenham shield

Tottenham 18th

finished

Goals

Axel Tuanzebe 45′
Lyle Foster 76′

Micky van de Ven 38′
Cristian Romero 90′

Fulham 20th 2-1 Brighton shield

Brighton 3rd

finished

Goals

Samuel Chukwueze 72′
Harry Wilson 90+2′

Yasin Ayari 28′

Man City 1st 2-0 Wolverhampton Wanderers shield

Wolverhampton Wanderers

finished

Goals

Omar Marmoush 6′
Antoine Semenyo 45+2′

Bournemouth 17th 3-2 Liverpool shield

Liverpool 8th

finished

Goals

Evanilson 26′
Álex Jiménez 33′
Amine Adli 90+5′

Virgil van Dijk 45′
Dominik Szoboszlai 80′

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Premier League standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Man City	5	5	0	0	13	5	+8	15
2	Arsenal	6	5	0	1	10	5	+5	15
3	Brighton	6	4	1	1	18	5	+13	13
4	Brentford	6	2	4	0	12	6	+6	10
5	Everton	6	2	4	0	8	5	+3	10
6	Chelsea	6	3	1	2	15	13	+2	10
7	Leeds	6	2	3	1	8	5	+3	9
8	Liverpool	5	2	3	0	7	4	+3	9
9	Hull	6	2	3	1	8	6	+2	9
10	Ipswich	6	3	0	3	9	12	-3	9
11	Newcastle	5	2	2	1	9	9	0	8
12	Crystal Palace	6	2	1	3	9	12	-3	7
13	Man United	6	1	3	2	9	9	0	6
14	Nottm Forest	6	1	2	3	5	8	-3	5
15	Aston Villa	6	1	2	3	6	11	-5	5
16	Sunderland	6	1	1	4	6	12	-6	4
17	Bournemouth	6	0	3	3	7	13	-6	3
18	Tottenham	6	0	3	3	3	9	-6	3
19	Coventry	5	1	0	4	1	10	-9	3
20	Fulham	6	0	2	4	6	10	-4	2

How are the predictions calculated?

Each upcoming match gets a Home / Draw / Away percentage from a statistical model, not a guess:

Form — each team's attack and defense strength from goals scored/conceded this season, blended with expected goals (xG) to separate genuine chances created from lucky or unlucky finishing, weighted so recent matches count more than early ones.
Head-to-head — this pair's past meetings nudge the prediction toward whoever's historically had the upper hand, capped so a small sample can't dominate.
Squad & injuries — currently unavailable players discount a team's attack or defense, weighted by how many minutes they'd normally play.
Home advantage — built into the league's own real home/away scoring split, not assumed.

Every number is then pulled back toward the league's own baseline odds, proportional to how extreme it is — a calibration step found necessary by backtesting the model against a full past season, which showed it was otherwise overconfident whenever it favored a clear winner.

Full step-by-step explanation →